Friday, April 1, 2011

Short was the Play

Still more than 30 minutes left in the trading day, but it's clear that the short side was the safest bet today.  Following are my trades and a picture of the intraday action.  Note that the day's results might have been considerably less since the intraday peak at 2 pm missed my stop by one tick!  By that point, I'd already banked $675 and had moved my stop to breakeven.  Sometimes, one tick is all it takes...today, we're one tick to the good...other days it works out the other way.

ES
  • Short 15 @ 1332.25
  • Cover 5  @ 1331.00 + $250
  • Short 5  @ 1332.75
  • Short 2  @ 1331.25
  • Cover 2  @ 1330.25 + $200
  • Short 2  @ 1331.75
  • Cover 2 @ 1330.00 + $225
  • Cover 9 @ 1326.25 + $2,762.50
  • Cover 3 @ 1325.75 +$925
  • Cover 3 @ 1324.50 +$1,112.50
--- Total for the day: $5,475 ---



I'll post once more after the close so that we can see how the VIX ended the day.

1 comment:

VM said...

I like your analysis.

One comment:
The bar at 14:15 that did not tick you did get me. On hindsight it was a perfect breakout test, but I didn't see it at that time.

A breakout test is one that comes back to test a prior perfect entry (typically the HOD or LOD) to stop out all the traders who moved their stop to breakeven.

Today the perfect entry short was below the 12:15PM bar. As you can see, the 14:15 high came up and stopped them out before running down.

Just wondering, is that why you kept your stop 1 tick above that bar?